Treasury Bond vs TIP Ladder

Treasury ladder: nominal yields, inflation risk. TIPS ladder: real yield + CPI adjustment. TIPS wins if inflation > breakeven (5-yr ~2.5%).

Nominal FV
TIPS FV
Difference
Breakeven
Winner
Investment
Nominal yield
TIPS real yield
Your inflation forecast
Breakeven inflation
Nominal FV (10yr)
TIPS FV (10yr)
Difference
Winner
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Nominal Treasury bonds offer fixed coupon at known yield. TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) offer real yield (after inflation) plus CPI adjustment. TIPS wins when actual inflation exceeds the market's 'breakeven inflation rate'.

Breakeven Inflation Calculation

Breakeven inflation = Nominal Treasury yield − TIPS real yield. Currently ~2.5% for 10-year. If you expect inflation HIGHER than breakeven, TIPS wins. Lower, nominal wins. Market consensus is built into the spread.

Tax Treatment Difference

Nominal: interest taxed as ordinary income annually. TIPS: principal adjustment is 'phantom income' — taxable yearly even though not received until maturity. Hold TIPS in tax-deferred accounts (IRA, 401k) to avoid phantom income tax.

Portfolio Allocation Strategy

Conservative inflation protection: 30-50% TIPS / 50-70% nominal Treasury. Inflation hawk: heavier TIPS allocation. Deflation hedge: heavier nominal. Or simply ladder 50/50 — average outcome.

Last updated May 2026. Sources: Treasury TIPS.